What's Arabic For "Bull Run"?
is starting to notice, but they are clapping their hands and trying to believe that "Tinkerbush" will "make it better".
We have not seen the first open battle
, but Professor Cole
makes it plain that the clerics who are calling for calm all seem to be "cleaning weapons and issuing ammunition".
The Kurds can be expected to react by declaring their independence, which will provoke a response from Turkey.
The relatives of the Sunnis in Iraq are honor-bound to support them, which will draw Saudi Arabia and Jordan into the war. Iran will, of course, be honor-bound to provide support, and the Alawis of Syria will also be involved.
The most logical element for the US to ally with are the Baathists elements, the only group really interested in maintaining Iraq as a nation.
This is exactly what was predicted would happen in the first Gulf War, and the reason Saddam was not removed. Control of the Persian Gulf is being handed to the Persians.