First, when John IV took the title of Caesar [Tsar] it was "of all the Russias" because there are three. Russia, Belarus, and the Ukraine are the three Russias. Belarus is not some modern construct, it is a very ancient nation that has connected then disconnected from Russia multiple times over the centuries.
The government of the modern version has more in common with The Sopranos
than The West Wing
, although I admit that the president's son hasn't gunned down anyone else in a bar recently. As predicted
, Lukashchenko was reelected in a process that no one believes was free or fair. There are a lot of people in rural areas who haven't quite accepted the fact that they are no longer in the Soviet Union and would have automatically voted for the current officials because that is what they had always done, and it is possible that Lukashchenko could have won if the election had been free, but he didn't want to chance it.
As occurred in the flawed election in the Ukraine, people camped out in a main square of the capital city, Minsk in this case, to protest the result and there is a major protest scheduled for tomorrow, but the security forces, still called the KGB in Belarus, swept up
all of the protestors in the middle of the night.
Don't look for a fairy tale ending. This is going to be nasty.